United Kingdom Consumer Inflation Expectations in United Kingdom

Bank of England · Quarterly (February, May, August, November) · Importance

3.2% (Q3-26) ABS · % · Quarterly · CSV
-0.8 (Q3-26) QOQ · pp · Quarterly · CSV
-0.4 (Q3-26) YOY · pp · Quarterly · CSV
Period%
Jul 2026 3.2%
Apr 2026 4.0%
Jan 2026 3.2%
Oct 2025 3.5%
Jul 2025 3.6%
Apr 2025 3.2%
Jan 2025 3.4%
Oct 2024 3.0%
Jul 2024 2.7%
Apr 2024 2.8%
Jan 2024 3.0%
Oct 2023 3.3%
Jul 2023 3.6%
Apr 2023 3.5%
Jan 2023 3.9%
Oct 2022 4.8%
Jul 2022 4.9%
Apr 2022 4.6%
Jan 2022 4.3%
Oct 2021 3.2%
Jul 2021 2.7%
Apr 2021 2.4%
Jan 2021 2.7%
Oct 2020 2.7%
Jul 2020 2.8%
Apr 2020 2.9%
Jan 2020 3.0%
Oct 2019 3.1%
Jul 2019 3.3%
Apr 2019 3.1%
Jan 2019 3.2%
Oct 2018 3.2%
Jul 2018 3.0%
Apr 2018 2.9%
Jan 2018 2.9%
Oct 2017 2.9%
Jul 2017 2.8%
Apr 2017 2.8%
Jan 2017 2.9%
Oct 2016 2.8%
Jul 2016 2.2%
Apr 2016 2.0%
Jan 2016 1.8%
Oct 2015 2.0%
Jul 2015 2.0%
Apr 2015 2.2%
Jan 2015 1.9%
Oct 2014 2.5%
Jul 2014 2.8%
Apr 2014 2.6%
Jan 2014 2.8%
Periodpp
Jul 2026 -0.8
Periodpp
Jul 2026 -0.4

About this indicator

Source
Bank of England / Ipsos Inflation Attitudes Survey
Frequency
Quarterly (February, May, August, November)
Release
In the middle of the month of each edition (February, May, August, November)
What it is
A quarterly survey commissioned by the Bank of England from Ipsos to measure UK households' inflation expectations: their perception of current inflation and expectations one year ahead, in the following year and over the longer term (five years).
How it's calculated
Surveys a representative sample of UK adults; the MEDIAN response to each question is published (perception of current inflation, expectations at 12 months, in the subsequent 12 months and five years ahead).
Market implications
The Bank of England uses inflation expectations to help set monetary policy: anchored expectations make it easier to control prices, while rising expectations can foreshadow wage and price pressures and a more hawkish stance, supporting the pound.
Limitations
Its quarterly frequency makes it less granular than monthly data. It measures households' perceptions and expectations rather than an objective market reading, and the sample can be affected by survey biases.